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恐慌前夜・・・・

Posted on July 31, 2020 at 2:41 AM

武漢コロナウィルスからはじまった、100年に一度の経済危機。
昭和初期の大恐慌に匹敵すると言われている。
コロナ不況がはじまっているけれど、
そのど真ん中にいるはずなのに、
なぜかその実感がない。

発表される経済指標は軒並み最悪の数字に近づいている。
たぶん 日を追ってもっともっと悪くなるだろう。

数字の裏側で早くから経済的に苦しんでいる人がたくさんいる。
国や都道府県の施策も多くの人には焼石に水。
充分な世界中のどの国も不況をマル抱え出きるほどの財政力はない。
結局、一人一人が自力で頑張る他にない。

コロナウィルスによる世界的危機。
乗り越えられるのはいつ頃になるのだろう。
ワクチン開発はまだ見通しはついていない。

インフルエンザのように皆が感染して治癒すれば危機は去る。
しかし
死亡リスクが少なくとも死亡率を前提とした政策は
先進国であり民主国家の日本では
表向きには選択することはできない。

コロナウィルスの感染→自粛からはじまった経済危機。
特にホテルや飲食などサービス業に従事する人にまず直撃した。
そして静かに深くその他の業界に波及している。

企業の多くは資本金を削りながら雇用を守っている。
長くこの状況が続けば大規模な人員整理、リストラが起きる。
恐慌のはじまりである。

ここ一週間、大企業の四半期の決算4-6月。
 3ヶ月間の業績が続々と発表されている。
目を覆うばかりの巨額な赤字。
たった3ヶ月で・・・・。

企業は耐えられるのだろうか?
雇用は守れるのだろうか?

恐慌は甘いものではない。
昭和の大恐慌は 第二次世界大戦へと導いた。

米中の貿易戦争は昨年、米国が仕掛けた。
トランプ大統領はコロナウィルスを契機に
5Gをめぐるファーウエイの排除。

武力紛争も辞さない覚悟で中国包囲網を築きつつある。
矢継ぎ早に突きつける条件。

あの戦争の日米関係の様相。
そして引き金を弾くのを待っている?。

経済危機・・・戦争前夜?
すべては、はじまったばかりだ。


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